Okay, it’s time to take a look at Senate races out there and where they stand, in terms of the GOP risk of losing seats.

Virginia: The State’s two immediate ex-Governors are going against each other, but it’s not even close. The latest Rasmussen poll has Warner by 27 points, while the PPP poll has him up by 31. Barring Former Governor Mark Warner being called to run as Obama’s VP, Former Governor Jim Gilmore is most likely toast. Certain Democrat Pick-up

New Mexico: Rep. Steve Pearce’s (R-NM) numbers against Tom Udall have been nearly as bad, with Udall’s lead in the low 20s. The only thing he has going in his favor is the support of Club for Growth and really members need to dig deep to help him out in the Fall. For the Club to involve itself in the Senate primary and then see the candidate suggested go down in flames: 1) weakens the Club’s external credibility, 2) hurts its internal credibility in terms of finding competitive candidates. Of course, some New Mexico Republicans might want to blame the Club for a November loss. Completely unjustified. Wilson trailed by more. Almost Certain Democratic Pick-up.

New Jersey: A little talked about race, but it may be a sleeper for Republicans. Four-Term Senator Frank Lautenberg survived a primary challenge, but one Rasmussen poll showed this a 1-point race. It may not be that close, but Lautenberg is vulnerable. His challenger, Former Congressman Dick Zimmer may not be a Conservative sweetheart, but he’s barely more liberal than McCain and if Obama is the President, someone who votes 60% conservative could counterbalance a lot of politices. However, I have to say that New Jersey has a tendency to give Republicans false hope in Senate races. Nearly every race there is close and it’s been 36 years since Republicans won one. Still, put this one as a sleeper that Republicans could win if Zimmer does things right and Lautenberg makes a few mistakes. Likely Democratic Retention.

New Hampshire: Former Governor Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) has a double digit lead on Senator John Sununu (R-NH) in recent polls. Sununu has several million dollars more in the bank than Shaheen and plans to re-introduce himself to voters. In tough year, Sununu has a fighting chance. Leans Democratic Pick-Up.

Colorado: The latest Rasmussen Poll has Congressman Mark Udall up by 9 over conservative Bob Schaffer. The state’s been trending Democratic in the last two years, but Schaeffer is probably a stronger and more appealing candidate than past Republicans. Still, it’s an uphill climb. Leans: Democratic Pick-Up.

Louisiana: The Democrat’s most-at risk seat. Polls show Louisiana Senator Mary Landrieu (D-LA.) clinging to a narrow lead in a state where Democratic elected official incompetence at State and local levels was a huge contributor to the Katrina crisis. Given the normal Democratic trend of the year that polls are so close, indicates that Landrieu has a fight on her hands from Democrat-turned-Republican John Kennedy. Slightly Leans Democratic Retention.

Alaska: Senator Ted Steven (R-AK) is nip and tuck with Anchorage Mayor Mark Begitch (D) and is dogged by corruption charges. The question of which party will retain this seat may be answered later this Month when Alaska hold its primary. Former Alaska Representative David Cuddy was within 15 points of Stevens in a poll conducted last month, but Cuddy now has several opponents for the anti-Stevens vote. If Cuddy can win the Primary, he probably will probably best Begitch in the poll. But if Stevens emerges weakened but not defeated (particularly with less than 50% support in the GOP primary), it could be another matter. Toss-Up.

Mississippi (Special): Former Senator Trent Lott did his party no favors when he left his Senate Seat 1 year after being re-elected. Now new Senator Roger Wicker (R-MS) is left in the fight of his political life against Former Governor Ronnie Musgrove. And the polls tell us nothing other than the race is extremely close. Toss-up.

Kentucky: Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) has a race on his hands against millionaire Bruce Lunsford (D). With the political blood of Ernie Fletcher on the floor, McConnell can’t take his own re-election effort for granted, which will hurt his ability to raise funds for other Republicans even though recent polls given McConnell a slight edge. Leans Republican Retention.

Maine: Senator Susan Collins (R-ME.), one of the Senate’s more liberal Republicans has had her lead over Congressman Tom Andrews (D-ME) shrink over the past three months from 16 points in the April Rasmussen poll to 10 in May, and 7 in June. The question is if Andrews has a hit ceiling or if he can turn out a 2-tearm incumbent. Leans Republican Retention.

Minnesota: The danger to Senator Norm Coleman (R-MN)’s re-election has gone down considerably after issues with Al Franken’s taxes came out, tarnishing his image. Note to Democrats: Send in the clowns is a great Sinatra song, but makes for a lousy Senate candidate selection process. Leans Republican Retention.

Oregon: Senator Gordon Smith (R-OR) may still face trouble this fall, but polls have indicated a fair-sized lead for Senator Smith, who in a recent ad touted his ability to work across party lines with Barack Obama. This probably indicates Smith’s sense of the political situation in Oregon, and he’s a good judge of it. Leans Republicans Retention.

North Carolina: Senator Elizabeth Dole (R-NC) was said to be near the top of Democratic target lists among incumbents. However, she’s gotten out to a solid lead and barring a major stumble should be fine. Likely Republican Retention.

My prediction for U.S. Senate: Democrats +4.

Onto the Presidential race and I only have one change to the map. Based on a huge amount of date, I can no longer consider North Carolina certain McCain territory. I’ll have it as leans McCain, but with most polls showing the race in North Carolina 4 points or less, I can’t say its certain. My  electoral map of certain states gives McCain a 201-200 advantage. You can view it here as it won’t display on F3 Coalition.

My general map is 252-238 Obama with 48 electoral votes undecided when taking into account leaners.

Of the above picture, Alan at Idablue writes:

I’d really like to see Republicans come out and denounce this, but I don’t expect them to.

Probably, most Republicans don’t know about it, but let me be the first if no one else has said it. I denounce the maker of this stupid racist button. It is utterly offensive and completely repulsive, and  it is unequivocally wrong. Rarely has a stronger case been made for registration of button-o-matic machines.

You know who else I denounce, though?  The National Education Association, which would rather trap Black kids in inner cities in failing schools than allow them the chance to attend a private or parochial school that works. I denounce their Washington State Branch for denying Black kids and all kids the right to attend a charter school, as they have consistently opposed the legislation.

I denounce Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton (D-DC) who is working to take Private School Scholarships away from mostly Black Children in her own City in order to please the NEA, putting special interests before Black Children.  I denounce Barack Obama for his indifference to the plight of this children, while sending his own to posh private schools.

I denounce a culture of low expectations and liberal indifference to the decline of the family, which when combined with government subsidies has created a culture of poverty and dependence. I denounce decades of Democratic Mayors in cities across America with the highest Black population whose leadership has produced nothing more than continued poverty, crime, and drugs on the streets of cities such as Detroit, and the debacle of New Orleans.

I denounce Planned Parenthood, with its history of thinly veiled racism and its willingness to accept racist contributions. With abortion rates three times as high among Blacks as Whites,  I doubt even the most ardent racist could dream of a better way to limit Black population.

I denounce liberals that would rather shirk the real issues that harm Black people across America to focus on fringe nutcases and idiots.

But once again, let me repeat that I denounce the greatest enemy of all Black Americans: The button maker guy.

Podcast Show Notes

Barack Obama sends his children to an exclusive private school, but stands by while teacher’s unions and Democratic leaders seek to take private school scholarships away from poor DC Children. (Hat Tip: Right Mind.)

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The so-called Freedom of Choice Act could wipe away every state law limiting abortion.

In response to the April 18, 2007 U.S. Supreme Court decision (Gonzales v. Carhart) upholding the federal Partial-Birth Abortion Ban Act, prominent Democratic members of Congress the next day reintroduced the so-called “Freedom of Choice Act” (FOCA), a proposed federal law to nullify virtually all federal and state limitations on abortion!

Last year, presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., shown here in his grass roots religious “garb” made a promise to the Planned Parenthood Action Fund:

“The first thing I’d do as president is sign the Freedom of Choice Act,” he said.

The so-called Freedom of Choice Act could wipe away every state law limiting abortion, undoing decades of legal work, research and educational successes.

N’Obama has co-sponsored the legislation with 18 other senators. The bill has the support of 109 members of Congress.

“Thirty-five years after Roe, abortion supporters, like Senator N’Obama, are dismayed that abortion remains a divisive issue and that their radical agenda has not been submissively accepted by the American public,” writes Denise M. Burke, vice president of Americans United for Life.

“Rather than confronting legitimate issues concerning the availability and safety of abortion, they choose to blatantly ignore the concerns and interests of everyday Americans, as well as the growing evidence that abortion hurts women.”

Day Gardner, president of the National Black Pro-Life Union, said even the federal Partial Birth Abortion Ban Act could be overturned.

“This shows exactly how dangerous this man is to unborn children,” he said. “We are killing off our children, and this is something we really have to pay attention to.”

Courtesy of CitizenLink, a Focus on the Family Action Center

FACT: The majority of abortion’s are performed because of convenience. Having a baby is just too inconvenient. Well, telemarketers are pretty inconvenient, should we whack them too? How about door-to-door salesmen, should we bump them off? It seems like taking a life is okay to some people if it promises less stress or avoids a certain set back.

Find out where your Rep’s stand on “Selective Murder!”

Here is a list of House Co-Sponsors from each State. What a shame!

What are you thinking, Betty Sutton and Dennis Kucinich and Stepanie “Tubbs” Jones, well, I’m not surprised.

Here is a list of Senate Co-Sponsors…more shame!

Way to go Sherrod Brown. You a real man of faith! Tsk.

Help stop the “Freedom of Choice Act” — or “Freedom for Partial-Birth Abortionists Act”!”

****Visit the National Right To Life Committee****HERE

You can enter your zip code to locate your Rep’s and load up their email boxes, call their offices and let ‘em know how you feel.

In the spirit of Nancy Reagan…Just Say NObama!

Podcast Show Notes

Why Obama’s decision to leave his church smacks of politics.

Why Hillary supporters are wrong to make a stink about the DNC decision to admit half of Florida and Michigan’s delegates.

Is big ears the only thing keeping Barack Obama off Mount Rushmore?

Plus Barack Obama’s dangerous plans for national security.  (Hat Tip: Obama Watch.)  Plus Obama’s new states.

Is Tom Coburn off his nut when he suggests John McCain can lead us back to true conservatism. (Hat Tip: Hot Air.)

Plus a new rallying cry for conservatives wary of McCain: “No More Susan Sarandon” (Hat Tip: Reformed Chicks Babbling.)

Congressman Paul Ryan proposes bold reform  (Hat Tip: Save the GOP.)

Bob Dole nails Scott McClellan. (Hat Tip: Wizbang.)

Reuters sues New York State over New York’s over-reaching.

Organ donations go to foreign mobsters over U.S. citizens.  (Hat Tip: Michelle Malkin.)

The California Assembly takes a step towards Euthanasia.  (Hat Tip: Right Mind.)

Child pornography by any other name.

Virginia takes steps to protect children from teacher predators after an AP investigation.

Bureaucratic rules mean that a student with the highest GPA won’t be her class valedictorian and will cost her a college scholarship.

A 10 year old was suspended and faces potential probation for bringing a Memorial Day souvenir to school.

Clint Eastwood and Spike Lee face off over Iwo Jima.

Are 70% of Americans wrong when they say divorce is alright? (Hat Tip: Evangelical Outpost.) 

Why are so many liberals against transracial adoption but for homosexual adoption? (Hat Tip: Michelle Malkin.)

Watch out ladies in Colorado, new legislation makes locker rooms and restrooms gender free.

Rowan Williams futilely appeals to the UN. to intervene in Zimbabwe.

An apology to the class of 2008.

A Sandpoint employer takes care of his employees.

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Bonus Podcast:

Subway apologizes for their slight of homeschoolers.

Anti-male bias in domestic violence shelters. (Hat Tip: Political Correctness Watch.)

Taking risks for God in China.

A U.S. soldier in trouble for sharing the gospel in Iraq. (Hat Tip: Stop the ACLU.)

What a restored house tells us about how to address the environment and the future of our nation. (Hat Tip: Crunchy Con.)

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Podcast Show Notes

Obama’s numbers among White voters comparable to Kerry’s .

More witnesses come forward in support of Arianna Huffington’s claim that McCain told her he didn’t vote for Bush. Kind of awkward for a guy trying to unite the Republican party.

Carter’s right: Michigan voters disqualified themselves.

Democrats have a unity issue: continuing abortion.

A North Carolina Congressional Candidate tells the National Republican Congressional Campaign Committee that he doesn’t want their money. (Hat Tip: Save the GOP.)

Congressman Nick Lampson (D-TX) campaign against corrupt earmarks for lobbyists in 2006 and has shown himself a hypocrite in Congress.

How the Tax Code ruins contests and sweepstakes.

How students who don’t want to learn from families that don’t care hinder students who want to learn and how charter schools help. (Hat Tip: Right Mind.)

The second Amendment saves lives. Examples: here, here, here, and here.

Student Senator learns thuggery due to lack of punishment for vandalism and violation of the free speech rights of fellow students.

Pro-Life Catholics in Michigan hold a funeral for unborn children thrown away like trash into dumpsters, while a pro-life group exposes another abortionist carrying out the same sleezy practice.  (Hat Tip: Jill Stanek.)

Bill in Britain leaves open the possibility of Human-Animal hybird, The Humanzee.

A stunning defeat for pro-abortionist in Brazil.

Selective tolerance: ex-gays fear reprisals from the homosexual community that leads them to remain silent.

Young Australian Males running short of role models thanks to a culture of sensationalized sex abuse stories. (Hat Tip: Political Correctness Watch.)

Girls Sports pose a risk to girls health. (Hat Tip: Outside the Beltway.)

Music courtesy of: Caledonix via the Podsafe Music Network.

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Podcast Show Notes

Joined for most of the show by Hatton Humphrey.

Barack Obama wins the Guam Caucus by 7 votes. We discuss how the politicians spent millions and promised millions more from taxpayers to the non-taxpayers of Guam.

Plus Barack Obama’s policies similar to Hugo Chavez?

Also how Obama and the media use class warfare to divide rich from poor and end up hurting everyone.

Americans don’t buy Obama’s “outrage” over Jeremiah Wright.

The undemocratic working of the Democratic Congress.

The Republicans can’t get over their love affair with earmarks.

Government gets tough on illegal immigration, but don’t worry, it’s not our government. (Hat Tip: Michelle Malkin.)

Oklahoma does get tough on illegal immigration and their unemployment rate drops. (Hat Tip: Right Mind.)

Stories of victory in Iraq and Afghanistant you wouldn’t hear from the MSM.

How Air Marshalls landed on the “do not fly list” and why it took years to get them. (Hat Tip: Michelle Malkin.)

A conservative blogger is the scourage of Al Franken. (Hat Tip: Michelle Malkin.)

The answer to the transsexual same sex marriage issue.

How well food sin taxes work out.

A Washington legislative leader sues her own citizens to increase taxes.

Canada improves health care speed. Now 42% of Canadians can get an MRI done in 3 1/2 months.

More disturbing Fascistic Statements from the Canadian Human Rights Commission. (Hat Tip: Stop the ACLU.)

Sarah Palin’s pro-life convictions show forth with true depth.

Music: The Soldier’s Song by Lance Larsen via the Podsafe music network.

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Originally posted here and here.

For the last month and a half, Governor Mike Huckabee spent no time with his boots on the ground in Pennsylvania. In fact, I don’t think he campaigned there period. His voice was not heard on radio ads. His visage was not seen in TV spots. The Hucka-bus did not traverse the turnpike. Calls were not made to prospective voters on his behalf. Any grassroots efforts were independent, few, and far between. No debates were held to match the Democrats.

Anyone up on their politics knows that the reason for this inactivity is the fact that Huckabee dropped out of the race after “Super Tuesday 2″ on March 4th, when it became unmistakably clear that he would not prevent John McCain from reaching the required 1191 delegates. According to his word, Huckabee threw his support behind the Arizona Senator.

Yet, over 91,000 residents of the Keystone State still pulled the lever, if you will, for the former Arkansas governor yesterday. While the mainstream media—and, by the trickledown effect, the rest of us—are enamored by the fracas on the Democratic side, this is a stat that will, in all likelihood, go largely unnoticed. But it should not.

Some may say that this was merely a collection of protest votes. If that is the case, it’s still a big deal. Combined with Ron Paul’s votes, over a quarter of Republican voters said “no”—or at least “not yet”—to McCain. This is a stern warning to the presumptive Republican nominee: He does not have the conservative base locked up; he should not get too cute with his VP pick.

But what if the eleven percent Huckabee garnered is more than a display in Republican “civil disobedience”? After all, Ron Paul reportedly ran radio ads in Pennsylvania, and his supporters are still battling hard with their “Operation Chaos.” Paul actually received almost 128,000 votes, or 16 percent. If people wanted to simply register their disdain for McCain, they’d either write in their favorite candidate or vote for a candidate still in the race (albeit feebly), who hasn’t endorsed McCain, wouldn’t they? (Unless, of course, there’s that much antipathy towards Ron Paul and his non-interventionism.)

Perhaps the people of Pennsylvania were sending a clear message: We like Huckabee. The Keystone State is critical in November, and McCain’s not going to pick Paul (Would Paul even accept the invitation?). So, obviously, that leads us to Huckabee.

Huckabee is the kind of fella who can connect with those “bitter,” “frustrated,” “clingy” small-town Pennsylvanians whom Barack Obama apparently has no qualms about insulting. For those who “cling to religion,” Huckabee is very outspoken and articulate about his faith. He’s a full-blown supporter of the Second Amendment, for those who “cling to guns.” He rejects gay marriage and amnesty, for those with “antipathy” towards those different from them. He even supports a policy of fair trade, as opposed to our broken free trade system, for those who have “anti-trade sentiment.”

Huckabee knows how to reach out to the little guy. He is one himself! People don’t see a lifelong politician, a business mogul, or a big-city elitist when they look at him, because that’s not who he is. Who is he? The type of guy who could help McCain in Pennsylvania this November.

Now, I don’t mean to start a big brouhaha of all the reasons why Huckabee would be a terrible choice. I’ve heard them. I’ve also heard legitimate arguments as to why a Huckabee supporter shouldn’t want McCain to select him. But two points of this post are clear: McCain has a lot of work to do, and he could use someone like Huckabee to help. Pennsylvanians proved that.

Podcast Show Notes

David Oatney and Hatton Humphrey join me as we discuss the Pope’s Visit and Obama’s Debate Performance.

Related Stories:

• Pro-Abortion Senate holds up resolution honoring the Pope
• The Pope meets with and comforts victims of abuse at the hands of priest.
• A Catholic University lifts its ban on a pro-life speaker.
• Barack Obama compares his terrorist buddy to a pro-life leader, Senator Tom Coburn unable to distinguish between terrorizing military facilities and proposing legislation through the Democratic process.
• Obama’s Flag Pin Flap.
• Hamas Endorses Obama Other Super Delegates to Follow.
• Hamas likes Obama
• Obamas Strategist tickled by Hamas comparing Obama to JFK. (Hat Tip: Hot Air.)
• Are Conservatives underestimating Obama?

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